Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.218293 0.257698 0.301743 0.354562 0.416123 0.485547 0.569720
2025-07-27 0.167029 0.219781 0.284949 0.371116 0.481780 0.618838 0.801162
2025-08-03 0.130576 0.187115 0.262647 0.370375 0.519451 0.717756 1.000738
2025-08-10 0.102422 0.157760 0.236720 0.356716 0.533396 0.782699 1.159567
2025-08-17 0.081182 0.133309 0.212145 0.338815 0.535704 0.828117 1.292719
2025-08-24 0.069743 0.121202 0.203124 0.341350 0.566608 0.916368 1.496555
2025-08-31 0.058252 0.106778 0.187840 0.331010 0.574813 0.969276 1.650139
2025-09-07 0.051567 0.099227 0.182399 0.335489 0.606713 1.062040 1.876357
2025-09-14 0.045542 0.091767 0.175841 0.336738 0.632592 1.146720 2.097158
2025-09-21 0.039685 0.083607 0.166734 0.331879 0.646532 1.211613 2.289627
2025-09-28 0.035125 0.077198 0.159890 0.330076 0.665367 1.286388 2.506509
2025-10-05 0.033123 0.075654 0.162158 0.345968 0.719189 1.429901 2.863571
2025-10-12 0.031880 0.075775 0.168262 0.371354 0.796688 1.629944 3.356683
2025-10-19 0.029703 0.073527 0.169247 0.386567 0.856163 1.802819 3.818401
2025-10-26 0.026456 0.068260 0.162967 0.385380 0.881418 1.910604 4.162342
2025-11-02 0.022732 0.061171 0.151535 0.371113 0.876646 1.956264 4.383499
2025-11-09 0.019283 0.054108 0.139040 0.352508 0.859633 1.973857 4.546687
2025-11-16 0.017546 0.051132 0.135795 0.355138 0.891050 2.098752 4.954521
2025-11-23 0.015320 0.046425 0.127555 0.344399 0.889676 2.150751 5.205951
2025-11-30 0.014114 0.044322 0.125594 0.349050 0.925775 2.291135 5.672026
2025-12-07 0.012887 0.041929 0.122508 0.350348 0.953690 2.415337 6.113173
2025-12-14 0.011542 0.038929 0.117315 0.345302 0.964843 2.500814 6.471117
2025-12-21 0.010467 0.036552 0.113490 0.343429 0.983972 2.607539 6.891388